On January 21 when the Canadian Central Bank unexpected slashed interest rates, I wrote Canadian Recession Coming Up.
Following the rate cut, the yield curve in Canada inverted out to three years. Inversion means near-term interest rates are higher than long-term rates.
I saw no other person mention the inversion at the time. An inverted yield curve generally portends recession.
Nine days later, the Canadian yield curve is still inverted. Let’s compare what I posted about the curve on January 21 vs. January 30.
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